A few posts back, I wrote a note about something I’d recently seen in one of the all-hands meetings of one of my clients. This financial services company had been in business for a very long time, and moving innovative products and services to market… Read More »Thinking About The Future Is Meaningless
Since we are hurtling rapidly towards a future where we will have the choices above, who will you pick? Imagine a time in a not too distant future. Let’s say that you have built up a sizeable nest egg of investments in several different areas… Read More »Who Do You Trust? The Expert, The Computer Or Yourself?
Most can barely think three months out, let alone ten years out. But sometime in those ten years, there is a 96% chance that your business will flame out. Are you worried about that? Many of us don’t think more than a quarter out. In fact,… Read More »Do You Fear The Future?
Determining the correct decision in any specific situation requires the ability to look at both qualitative and quantitative data. However, all of this data comes from the past. For example, if you sold Widget A 5 years ago and it flopped miserably, you are less… Read More »Stepping Into The Same River Twice
I thought I was coming to the future- but I wasn’t. Or Was I? Before I came to the Bay Area, I thought that this was the most fantastic place on earth. I would religiously read Wired and Forbes ASAP magazines, dreaming about all the… Read More »The Future Was Not What I Thought It was Going To Be
As a futurist, I’m always thinking about and living in the future and the fantastic possibilities that the future holds. I look at the ideas generated during our ideation sessions, whether they are in the short term – where we are trying to develop products… Read More »Learn To Embrace The Future
Has this ever happened to you? I was on a call with one of my former clients a few years ago. They were discussing a new product development process that would generate disruptive and innovative new product ideas, aiming to push this company into a… Read More »Innovation Without Risk Is Not Innovation
If the Coronavirus has taught us anything, it’s that life IS change. If that’s true, how does planning work if you could be deeply affected by the next Black Swan? I firmly believe that there are two ways in which to run your life and… Read More »The Pros And Cons Of Resilience
The Coronavirus is a Black Swan: The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.… Read More »The Upside Of Black Swans
The famous quote from the original cyberpunk author William Gibson – “the future is already here; it’s just not evenly distributed” is everywhere, and mostly true. At least that was primarily true before 2020. I feel that there is a change in the air. We… Read More »The Future Is Already Here. Full Stop.